SrasV1, Main, Exploration, bibRecord, 000389

Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020.

Identifieur interne : 000389 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000388; suivant : 000390

Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020.

Auteurs : Giorgio Guzzetta [Italie] ; Piero Poletti [Italie] ; Marco Ajelli [Italie] ; Filippo Trentini [Italie] ; Valentina Marziano [Italie] ; Danilo Cereda [Italie] ; Marcello Tirani [Italie] ; Giulio Diurno [Italie] ; Annalisa Bodina [Italie] ; Antonio Barone [Italie] ; Lucia Crottogini [Italie] ; Maria Gramegna [Italie] ; Alessia Melegaro ; Stefano Merler

Source :

Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin [ 1560-7917 ] ; 2020.

RBID : pubmed:32234117

Descripteurs français

KwdFr :
- Coronavirus, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Infections à coronavirus (transmission), Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie), Italie (épidémiologie), Notification des maladies à déclaration obligatoire (), Pandémies, Pneumopathie virale (transmission), Pneumopathie virale (épidémiologie).
MESH :
- épidémiologie : Infections à coronavirus, Italie, Pneumopathie virale.
- Coronavirus, Flambées de maladies, Humains, Notification des maladies à déclaration obligatoire, Pandémies.
Wicri :
- geographic : Italie.

English descriptors

KwdEn :
- Betacoronavirus, Coronavirus, Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (transmission), Disease Notification (statistics & numerical data), Disease Outbreaks, Humans, Italy (epidemiology), Pandemics, Pneumonia, Viral (epidemiology), Pneumonia, Viral (transmission).
MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Italy.
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- statistics & numerical data : Disease Notification.
- transmission : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- Betacoronavirus, Coronavirus, Disease Outbreaks, Humans, Pandemics.

Abstract

Sustained coronavirus disease (COVID-19) transmission is ongoing in Italy, with 7,375 reported cases and 366 deaths by 8 March 2020. We provide a model-based evaluation of patient records from Lombardy, predicting the impact of an uncontrolled epidemic on the healthcare system. It has the potential to cause more than 250,039 (95% credible interval (CrI): 147,717-459,890) cases within 3 weeks, including 37,194 (95% CrI: 22,250-67,632) patients requiring intensive care. Aggressive containment strategies are required.

DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000293
PubMed: 32234117

Affiliations:

Le document en format XML

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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Sustained coronavirus disease (COVID-19) transmission is ongoing in Italy, with 7,375 reported cases and 366 deaths by 8 March 2020. We provide a model-based evaluation of patient records from Lombardy, predicting the impact of an uncontrolled epidemic on the healthcare system. It has the potential to cause more than 250,039 (95% credible interval (CrI): 147,717-459,890) cases within 3 weeks, including 37,194 (95% CrI: 22,250-67,632) patients requiring intensive care. Aggressive containment strategies are required.</div>
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</record>

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EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/SrasV1/Data/Main/Exploration

HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000389 | SxmlIndent | more

HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd -nk 000389 | SxmlIndent | more

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

{{Explor lien
   |wiki=    Sante
   |area=    SrasV1
   |flux=    Main
   |étape=   Exploration
   |type=    RBID
   |clé=     pubmed:32234117
   |texte=   Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020.
}}

Pour générer des pages wiki

HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/RBID.i   -Sk "pubmed:32234117" \
       | HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd   \
       | NlmPubMed2Wicri -a SrasV1

This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33.
Data generation: Tue Apr 28 14:49:16 2020. Site generation: Sat Mar 27 22:06:49 2021

Serveur d'exploration SRAS

Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020.

Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020.

Source :

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

Le document en format XML

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

Pour générer des pages wiki

	Serveur d'exploration SRAS
	Attention, ce site est en cours de développement ! Attention, site généré par des moyens informatiques à partir de corpus bruts. Les informations ne sont donc pas validées.